The bottom line is that, just like in the map deemed unconstitutional, Republicans would still have a chance of winning 10 of the 14 seats. But unlike the unconstitutional map, Democrats would also have a chance of winning a majority of seats if they win a majority of statewide votes. They could win up to eight of 14.
Where are the competition places?
The map’s four competitive seats include mid-sized cities, metropolitan suburbs, and rural farmland – often combined in the same district.
Three of the four competitive seats would have been won by both Republican President Donald Trump and Democratic Governor Roy Cooper in the 2020 election, according to data underlying the maps. Based on a combination of these and other recent election results, these three districts should be Republican-leaning, but narrowly. The fourth seat in the toss would be classified as narrowly Democratic under the same parameters.
District 6: Combining approximately 80% of Greensboro with more rural areas and fast-growing suburban communities—both in the Triad and Triangle—this district would lean slightly to the right. It includes all or part of the counties of Guilford, Alamance, Rockingham, Randolph, Lee, Chatham and Harnett.
District 7: Stretching from Fayetteville to Wilmington and taking up some rural communities in between, Democrat Joe Biden would have won this district by a mere 0.3% in 2020 – but he is currently represented by a Republican, Rep. David Rouzer . It includes all of Cumberland, Bladen, Brunswick and New Hanover counties and part of Columbus County.