In fact, the apocalyptic predictions of some Democratic circles that the 10-year redistribution process would be a bloodbath for their camp have in fact not been confirmed.
With 34 states completed in redistribution or in the endgame, Wasserman calculates that President Joe Biden would have won 161 of the 293 new districts created for the next decade in the 2020 election. This compares favorably to 157 of the 292 districts under the old maps. that Biden was wearing.
Which is at least slightly surprising, given that Republicans had complete control over the line-drawing process in 187 seats compared to only 75 for Democrats.
Before Democrats got too excited, however, Wasserman rightly notes that many of the new districts Biden wore he had won very closely – and the lion’s share of them are targeted by Republicans in November.
“The math problem for House Democrats comes down to this: Even though there will be more seats won by Biden than there are now, dozens will have voted for him only by narrow margins and will be very tenuous for Democrats if Biden’s approval rating still languishes below 45 percent.“
Point: Democrats are awaiting positive news before the mid-term of 2022. At least right now, the redistribution is one of the few good stories for them.